What If the Neutral Interest Rate is Higher Than We Think?
There’s an argument that the so-called neutral rate has grown, which would mean expect a new normal. First, the semi brighter side. Reuters recently surveyed 108 economists to se...
There’s an argument that the so-called neutral rate has grown, which would mean expect a new normal. First, the semi brighter side. Reuters recently surveyed 108 economists to se...
Consumers are bracing for higher inflation along with higher home prices in the near term, according to the latest Survey of Consumer Expectations released Monday by the Federal Reserve Bank...
By aiming for a “soft landing,” the Fed could do some damage. A couple of weeks ago, the Fed did as was expected and kept the overnight rate unchanged. No surprise there. The Fed cited e...
"I view CRE risks currently as sizable but manageable." Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, who recently became chair of the central bank’s Committee on Financial Stability, told the Brookings ...
There’s been questions for a while by some at the Fed whether cutting rates would be wise. The Federal Reserve usually speaks as one. But it’s a big organization with many individuals, in...
Lower productivity can translate into higher product costs and, therefore, more inflation. With eyes on jobs, wages, and inflation, it’s easy to forget how much impact productivity — the ...
The drop gives some insight into when the excess supply might start to taper. Both multifamily and single-family starts dropped in March from their February levels, according to the seasonally adjust...
The Trepp CMBS Delinquency rate surged in April 2024 after posting a slight decline in March. Overall, the delinquency rate increased 40 basis points to 5.07% for the highest level since Septembe...
The U.S. office market is experiencing turmoil as over $38B of office buildings are at risk of loan defaults, foreclosures, or distress, the highest level since 2012. Mounting default...
Every time inflation rates increase or the Federal Reserve indicates that its “Higher for Longer” interest rate strategy will likely stay in place, there seems to be panic in the streets. ...
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