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Here's What's Happening In The Market, Here’s What This Means For You

Wall Street: U.S. housing market to see the second-biggest home price decline since the Great Depression.

Fitch Ratings: U.S. home prices could fall 10% to 15%.

Black Knight Report Continues to Slay Home Prices. The monthly rate of home price decline is now rivaling that seen during the Great Recession – the question now facing housing analysts is how long it will continue to do so, and how far off peaks prices will drop. https://www.globest.com/2022/10/04/black-knight-report-continues-to-slay-home-prices/?kw=Black%20Knight%20Report%20Continues%20to%20Slay%20Home%20Prices&utm_source=email&utm_medium=enl&utm_campaign=nationalamalert&utm_content=20221004&utm_term=rem&enlcmp=nltrplt4

Chalk 2022 up as a good year for Orange County. High school graduation rates are improving. The educational gap between White and minority students is narrowing. Wages are up. The poverty rate is down. And almost everyone has access to the internet and some form of health insurance.

Less Turnover, Smaller Raises: Hot Job Market May Be Losing Its Sizzle. https://news.yahoo.com/less-turnover-smaller-raises-hot-182420233.html

As Credit Suisse's Credit Default Swaps Spike To Near 2008 Levels, Rumors Of Lehman-Like Collapse Floated, Bank Steps In To Allay Concerns https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/10/29111470/as-credit-suisses-credit-default-swaps-spike-to-near-2008-levels-rumors-of-lehman-like-collapse-floa

New data shows Americans have already burned through a third of their pent-up savings. That's nearly three times more than previously thought, and signals spending will soon slow down.

Developers in Southern California have put the brakes on plans to build single-family homes, with 21 percent fewer permit approvals in the last two months.

Developer Don Peebles: Housing market headed for “crash landing”. The developer singled out Los Angeles, where he said he “wouldn’t be surprised” to see home prices fall 15 to 20 percent in the next 18 months. https://therealdeal.com/2022/10/07/peebles-housing-market-headed-for-crash-landing/amp/

Global economic growth is expected to slow down to 2.5% this year, and 2.3% by 2023. That means a global recession is almost a fact, as 2.5% is the threshold for that.

Orange County

3
Closed Sales Last Week
27
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$7,200,000
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
2
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
3
Financed Transactions Last Week
0
All Cash Transactions Last Week
2
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
1
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week
8
New Listings Last Week
4
Months of Inventory
195
Total Number of Active Listings
$654,569,823
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
5
Active Under Contract Last Week
1
Pending Listings Last Week
3
Expired Listings Last Week

Orange County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com


Absorption Rate: 3.71 months
Avg. Cap Rate: 4.44%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.95

Live MLS Link PDF Link


Southern California

8
Closed Sales Last Week
44
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,285,625
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
4
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
7
Financed Transactions Last Week
1
All Cash Transactions Last Week
7
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
1
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week
2
New Listings Last Week
4
Months of Inventory
94
Total Number of Active Listings
$242,603,597
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
2
Active Under Contract Last Week
5
Pending Listings Last Week
1
Expired Listings Last Week

Orange County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com


Absorption Rate: 2.82 months
Avg. Cap Rate: 4.64%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.28

Live MLS Link PDF Link